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爱华:中信建投研报指出,当前锂产业链自下而上去库存,库存从去年的边际需求转为当下的边际供给,导致月度级别供给过剩,但全年看锂矿供应过剩矛盾并不显著,仅有小幅过剩,上半年过剩愈突出则愈加剧下半年月度级别短缺风险。目前电池级碳酸锂价格已经跌破20万元/吨,已致部分外购矿石的锂盐加工厂亏损,底部成本支撑逐步显现,锂盐企业出现减产,月度产量连续下滑。价格继续下跌或引发锂盐厂减产扩大、以及部分高成本矿山推迟投产,形成成本支撑,预计锂盐价格下跌已经步入尾声,建议重视底部布局机会 #2022年度个人数据报告##

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