如图所示，“傻瓜资金”（Dumb money）的信心现在已经升至较高水平，市场短期内有理由保持谨慎。附图中褐色线条与浅蓝色线条相交，其中浅蓝色线条代表“聪明资金”（Smart Money）的信心，而褐色线条表示“傻瓜资金”（Dumb money）的信心；上面的黑色线条为标普500指数的走势。通过对比历史走势可以发现，每当褐色线条升至相对高位时，标普500指数则迎来下跌。盘面上标普500下降趋势线依旧阻力强大，再次呈现收敛三角形，进而大概率继续延续之前的下跌趋势。
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