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因为所有交易的结果都不确定,所以每一笔交易像赌博一样,即使交易者可能利用同一套已知的变量看出自己在每一笔交易中的优势,但每一笔交易在统计上,还是与下一笔交易、上一笔交易或未来任何交易没有关系;此外,如果每一笔交易的结果在统计上独立于所有其他交易,那么即使每一笔交易的成功概率可能对交易者有利,任何一系列交易的盈亏一定也是随机分配的。

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