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周一(11月8日)美元基本持稳,但仍低于上周五的高点,澳元兑美元窄幅波动,多头正试图守住0.74关口。风险敏感的澳元兑美元在上周五的低点0.7359美元处获得支撑,但本周稍晚,商品价格疲软和美国通胀数据强劲可能令该货币对跌破0.73美元。市场继续根据澳洲联储相对温和的讯息进行调整,随着全球央行传达的信息增加,澳元可能进一步走软。同时,大宗商品价格走软也对澳元构成压力。目前从日线图上观察,汇价勉强出于20日移动均线附近,但各类技术指标均表现朝下的指向,如果0.74再次不保,则下方将考验0.73附近区域的支撑。目前空头动能并没有退去的迹象。

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