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周一,欧元在美国交易开始前持平,并在1.1550上方受到支撑。未来一周的时间里美联储一众官员就有关通胀和加息问题会纷纷发表讲话,如果讲话都偏鹰派的话,那么对于美联储未来加息的预期将会变得更为笃定。相反,欧洲央行颇具影响力的成员兼首席经济学家菲利普。莱恩仍坚定地认为,欧元区当前的通胀飙升是暂时的,而欧洲央行其他核心成员(如欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜。拉加德)本周的讲话也可能听起来较为温和。美联储升息的定价有可能比欧洲央行的定价更大幅度地提前,这意味着欧元面临下行风险。欧元前个交易日跌至1.1513后略有反弹,但目前仍受限于1.16之下,短期技术指标仍偏下行。如果日线图上无法回到1.1625之上,则难改近期形成的跌势。下方跌破1.15则将考验1.1424的水位。

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