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凌晨美联储利率决议 是探底还是续跌? 周四凌晨两点也就是今天深夜,将公布美联储11月议息会议,市场充满了期待。相信很多朋友对于今晚怎么去看待仍然不明朗,我们不妨参考一下上次2013-2014年的紧缩时间周期: 2013年2月美联储开始明确释放缩减购债规模的信号,黄金价格从此一路下跌;在2013年12月正式开始实施缩减购债时,黄金价格在触底后出现了一波反弹,金价从1181涨至1395附近,共计涨幅214美金,行情如此剧烈,这或许也就是常说到的“买预期卖事实”的真实案例。(如图所示) 我们还是这个观点,目前在后疫情时代,美联储缩减购债是大势所趋,政策调整势在必行,但当确定缩债靴子落定之后,会不会利空出尽迎来探底后的反弹?这是我们今晚重点需要关注的。

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