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大多数美联储决策者认为,目前超过2%的通胀是暂时的。但是,如果物价上涨实际是更为持久的,那么无论谁领导美联储,都可能等不到实现充分就业就要考虑加息了。尽管近期美元指数承压,但下一任美联储在未来四年大概率会逐步收紧货币政策并逐步加息,从长线来看,美元指数的下行空间受到限制,而且偏向于震荡走高。

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