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投资者正在等待本周的美国通胀数据和美联储鲍威尔在国会发表证词,以寻找有关美联储何时开始缩减资产购买的线索。经济学家们上调了他们对下半年美国GDP的预期,通胀预期也有所上升,引发了美联储可能比预期更早缩减刺激力度的担忧。鲍威尔讲话料几乎不会超出政策会议纪要以及美联储官员自6月会议以来大量讲话所提供的信息。自6月FOMC会议以来,美联储官员的讲话很多,再加上经济数据喜忧参半,意味着此次听证会出现意外的概率较低。在8月下旬的杰克逊霍尔研讨会或9月份—届时将有另外两个月的就业数据出炉—之前不太可能出现有关减码的明确说法。

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