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油价仍有续涨空间,强力看多加元与挪威克郎;① 高盛的分析师指出,随着全球经济的进一步趋于复苏,油价在需求端拉动下上行仍将是大势所趋,因而与油价高度关联的产油国货币也将继续是汇市的领跑者。同时,出口的强势复苏会令相应经济体的央行更早进入加息周期,因而,高盛当前推荐相对美元做多挪威克郎和加元;② 高盛指出,挪威央行将领先所有其他发达经济体央行,带头于2021年四季度就开始加息,这意味着挪威克郎汇价前景将持续看多。与此同时,加拿大央行也会此后在今年4月份就开始缩减QE规模,并在2023年初开始加息,这都比美联储要领先一步,于是,美元兑加元上周触及的三年低点1.2365,也并非已经是历史性大底

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