我们不知道一个趋势会持续多久，不知道它何时反转，也不知道导致反转的因素以及反转的程度。但是我相信，趋势迟早都会终止。没有任何东西能够永远存在。
那么，面对周期，我们能做些什么呢？如果不能预知反转如何以及何时发生，那么我们该怎么应对呢？我们或许永远不会知道要去往哪里，但最好明白我们身在何处。也就是说，即使我们不能预测周期性波动的时间和幅度，尽力弄清楚我们处于周期的哪个阶段并采取相应的行动也是很重要的。
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