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多重因素或导致美元走势不会大涨;①瑞银称,预计美元不会大幅上涨,货币的变动是周期性的,政治、经济和历史趋势都表明美元将在中期进一步走软;②财政和货币刺激对美元不利,而欧元区的相对表现似乎将有所改善;③从历史上看,当长期收益率上升时,美元就会走弱;美元今年有更多下跌空间,周期性复苏的加速可能会提振风险偏好货币和与大宗商品相关的货币

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