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英镑兑美元突破区间交投的关键得看这一因素;西太平洋银行认为,政府指引显示英国将逐步放松封锁限制,尽管有可能出现由消费者带动的反弹,但短期信心不足可能会使英镑兑美元陷于区间交投,英国近期公布的数据比预期的更为强劲,而且似乎有可能避免技术性衰退,尽管今年第一季度可能出现大幅萎缩,英国央行重申预计将出现由消费者主导的经济复苏,而这种复苏的动力来自于过去一年封锁期间积累的大量储蓄;虽然在某些活动调查中出现了明显的反弹,但其他商业和信心调查却难以反弹,这种差异表明像在欧洲一样,长期的封锁限制了人们的信心,对于宣布解除封锁和继续有效推广疫苗接种的信心如何,将是决定是否可能在预算前推动英镑兑美元突破目前1.3750-1.4000区间的关键

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