欧元下行趋势仍然完好，失守1.1945将打开跌向1.12750通道；① 德国商业银行分析师指出，虽然欧元兑美元汇价在上周五发布的美国1月非农就业数据意外逊色后暂止止跌，但下行趋势并未扭转，而基于当前的基本面状况对比，欧元区经济前景也被认定仍将逊于美国，这意味着欧元汇价中期见顶下行趋势并未就此中止，而是将继续延续下去；② 该行分析师指出，欧元兑美元上周在100日均线暂时得到支撑，但眼下，1.1945这一水平仍是关键点位，如果跌破，后市将缺少足够的趋势支撑支点，汇价可能快速下行至1.1750一线，之后更将下探至此前1.0676-1.2349涨幅的38.2%回撤位1.1695，以及去年9月和11月的低点1.1602处。而当前一鼓作气收复1.21关口处的60日均线切入位，才是短线跌势得到暂止的关键信号所在
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