January Barometer: N...from ronwilliam

07 Feb 2021, 09:50 · Views 1,580

January Barometer: Negative Surprise in 2021? A strong month of January traditionally signals a positive rest of the year Not bulletproof… e.g. volatile late cycle = negative surprises, notably 2020 Trend risk based on macro factors such as virus mutation, behavioural pattern shift, weak economic recovery, geopolitical escalations (hot wars)

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ronwilliam

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I am a market strategist & trading psychologist/mentor, with +20-years of experience, working for leading investment and trading firms.

US Presidential Election Risk +++++++++++++++++++++ 1.) There is a historical similarity of the latest US presidential contested election (Trump-Biden) and previous one in the year of 2000 (Bush-Gore). 2.) The previous event risk led to a -8.5% price drop, from a similar late-cycle top pattern, that led to the Y2K crash. 3.) This would potentially be triggered under the pandemic gap of 3280-3340, if and once, S&P500 reverses under risk level at 3600. #USElection2020#

ronwilliam

Our new year class of young aspiring traders bravely and humbly stepped up to the challenge of this question, followed by a timeline exercise that I set them to review PEAKS & VALLEYS of their own rollercoaster ride of the past year of 2020. Results are still coming in, but a few traders have already impressed me with their proactive willingness to go all in and engage deep reflective insights of achievements, magic moments & challenges/lessons. There are plenty of benefits to looking back over your shoulder - in life or trading; to improve self-awareness, celebrate wins, learn from past mistakes and build more resilience strategies. Many choose NOT to recall 2020, and we can all likely understand why, given the grief and shock of all that happened. But inevitably we must refocus onto the map of our desired future and let go of the blocks from the past. Neuroscience research highlights the majority of our daily thoughts are negatively charged, literally re-wiring pain patterns into our brain. Put simply, we are blindly driving our mind's motor vehicle (car), while looking out of the rearview mirror. Be mindful. #Make2021yourBESTyearEVER# #Market&Mind#

ronwilliam

Asia's Rising Sun ++++++++++++ 1.) Asia's rising sun, more precisely during the summer months of 2020, triggered by a much awaited "Great crossover signal" as Asian economies became larger than the rest of world GDP, in purchasing power terms. 2.) Show me the money! Asian equity markets (ex-China) are on pace for the biggest influx of foreign money since 2013, according to data from Bloomberg. Japan is leading the way with US$27.4 billion, followed by India at US$9.2 billion. South Korea received US$6.4 billion. 3.) The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose to a record and a Bloomberg Barclays bond index is close to its highest in four years. #AsianMarket#

ronwilliam

How to be a better trader in 2021? · The power of now, pain patterns & future performance targets · Growth vs. fixed mindset, where each path leads · Grief cycles, drawdowns & the pandemic-related shock · Goal-mapping, blending right-left brain thinking · 3 Steps to Peak performance #Market&Mind#

ronwilliam

Out of the Covid crisis will come opportunity, but where will it surface? With little or nothing to show from the Covid crisis where should traders be looking for the next big opportunity? IGTV’s Jeremy Naylor speaks with Ron William from RW Advisory who puts the case for Japan, India and China. Asia's Rising Sun ++++++++++++ Asia's rising sun has officially begun. Out of the COVID crisis will come opportunity, but where will it surface? Japan's rising sun, 30-32k next! India 20yr record high, but o/bought China line in the sand @3500

ronwilliam