2021年NYMEX原油价格将持于55美元/桶附近;① NYMEX原油近期持续走强,本周三触及近一年高位56.33美元,而业内机构道明证券指出,油价当前基本已经体现了供需均衡的状况,年内剩余时间将大致徘徊于55美元/桶水平上下;② 该机构指出,一方面,OPEC+在增产过程中仍会显得审慎,同时美国拜登政府的环保新政对于页岩油开采会横加阻挠,这也会影响产能的增长,这和疫情消退过程中需求的增长一同将对油价提供支撑;然而另一方面,OPEC+逐月增产已是既定计划,油价当前处于高位的状况仍会推动页岩油复产增产,而全球需求在后疫情时代的新经济模式下仍有不确定性,所以,油价续涨空间同样受限
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