英国央行若排除降息可能，英镑或涨至1.40；三菱东京日联银行表示，市场参与者在会议之前降低了降息预期，帮助提振了英镑，英国脱欧贸易协议在最后一刻达成，去年底英国经济的弹性以及英国疫苗相对较快推出，这些因素都削弱了支持即将再次放松货币政策的论点，然而更严厉的第三次封锁预计将在今年年初对经济增长造成更大的负面影响，仍可能鼓励英国央行提供更多刺激措施，以防范下行风险，即使他们对未来更强劲的複苏更有信心；对于英镑而言，最乐观的可能结果将是英国央行保持关键政策利率不变，而与银行的磋商将进一步抑制短期内负利率的投机，可能为英镑进一步上涨打开大门，使英镑兑美元上升至接近1.4000的水平，欧元兑英镑汇率看向0.8050，英镑也存在明显的下行风险，不能完全排除降息至0甚至负值的可能性，不过目前看来可能性不大
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