美元兑加元一季度目标为1.26；美银美林讨论了美元兑加元前景，认为汇价一季度目标为1.26，三季度将涨至1.29，汇价自当前水平下行的空间有限，美元汇率已回落至均衡水平，国际原油期货价格已经超过了大宗商品研究团队预测的2021年目标水平47美元/桶，全球风险资产已在很大程度上反映出全球复苏的影响；最重要的是，随着2021年的到来，美国与加拿大的基本面看起来不太可能恶化，特别是在美国大规模财政扩张的背景下，应该会使美元兑加元的公允价值受到我们目前估计的1.29左右的支撑；事实上，如果油价在持续复苏的情况下被证明是可控的，那么美加之间的利差将会上升，美元兑加元进一步下跌看起来是不合理的，使得汇价的下跌不可持续
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