澳元短期恐回调至0.74，年中过后有望温和上行，年底回升至0.76；①德国商业银行预测称，虽然澳元近期面临回调风险，但中期将恢复2020年的上涨趋势；②该行认为，因为此前涨幅过快、美国新总统拜登或推出更多刺激、美联储的减债和提前加息预期，短期澳元回调风险很大；③虽然受全球经济复苏提振，澳元年中开始有望再次上行，但考虑到澳洲劳动力市场复苏缓慢，澳洲联储可能口头干预澳元升值，因此澳元仅能温和上涨；④该行预测澳元兑美元将在年中回落至0.74，年底回升至0.76
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