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预计布伦特原油价格将在下半年突破60美元;在需求持续疲弱之际,沙特减产100万桶/日的举措稳定了石油市场。我行分析师预测下季度布伦特原油价格在58美元/桶左右,下半年达到60美元/桶的水平。具体来看,需求预测不作调整,第一季度全球原油库存减少量将达到110万桶/日,因此3个月内价格目标上调到58美元/桶,但短期需求有下行风险,限制了未来几个月价格的上行。预计下半年全球原油需求将增加400-500万桶/日,布伦特原油价格将达到60美元/桶,WTI原油走势也类似

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