布伦特油价到第四季度将回到65美元均衡水平；① 德意志银行研究分析师Michael Hsueh在报告中称，布伦特原油期货价格到第四季度将回到每桶65美元的均衡水平，因为到第三季度将消耗完过剩库存；② 预计1-12月布伦特合约现货升水有超过5美元/桶的可能，建议做多2021年12月-2022年12月布伦特合约价差；当下全球流动暂时会减弱，但“沙特阿拉伯主动减产”将帮助市场在第一季度渡过难关，迈向平衡；③ 预计市场平衡状况将足可使OPEC在二季度某个时候完全实施最初计划的200万桶/日增产；美国页岩油产量的增长将“在可预见的未来受到限制”
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