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欧元兑美元将在2021年上半年达到1.25-1.27的峰值;北欧联合银行分析师预计,欧元兑美元将在今年上半年见顶,因美元收益率曲线仍然活跃,美元曲线有更大的变陡潜力,而欧元曲线的变陡潜力十分有限。当名义GDP增长强劲时,长期国债收益率往往会回升,美元曲线对此最为敏感,美元与欧元的利差扩大,汇率可能会在今年上半年达到峰值。强劲的欧元对欧洲出口是一个麻烦,而美国经济似乎可以稳步复苏,美元和欧元利差会变得更大

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