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全球乐观情绪继续助推澳元走强,但需警惕澳洲联储官员口头干预打压;① 澳元兑美元周二隔夜跟随美元指数再度转跌的走势再度反弹冲高,周三日内有望重新上触0.78关口。业内机构摩根士丹利就此指出,澳元汇价强劲走势当前仍是众望所归,因眼下全球风险偏好继续向好,大宗商品需求在各国基建投资增加的预期下节节走高,这都对以澳元为代表的商品系货币构成持续的中长期利好;② 但大摩同时也发出警告称,虽然澳元汇价中长期看涨,但短线走势仍面临波动风险,一方面在于美元指数近期出现止跌抬头趋势,另一方面也因为澳元走强对澳洲本国出口贸易的负面影响可能会引起澳洲联储的警惕,不排除相关官员近期针对汇率问题专门发表看法从而对汇市进行变相口头干预的可能性

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