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#GBP/USD#英镑周四持于两年半高点下方,目前交投于1.3580附近,外界揣测英国央行可能较早引入负利率,以对抗第三次疫情封锁给经济造成的打击。第三波封锁措施对英国经济的冲击,将增加英国央行的压力,可能2月的下次会议就得采取额外的货币刺激。市场上预计,英国央行2月将把利率降至负值,指标利率从0.10%调降到负0.15%。如此将会对英镑未来走势不利。但是市场上也有不同的意见,他们对英镑整体仍持正面看法。认为英国退欧的风险已去除,但英镑其实还没有回到正常水平。目前4小时图以及日线图上,技术指标逐步朝南,如果跌穿近期关键的支撑水位1.35,恐引来回撤行情。短线来看,仍倾向空英镑的操作。

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