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美元兑日元后市仍有续跌空间,短线目标下看102.50;① 美元兑日元周一欧美时段在创得10个月新低102.71之后一度反弹50点,但进一步上行动能乏力,周二进入亚洲时段后重拾跌势,再度跌回103关口下方,因美元指数在日内美国佐治亚州国会参议员补选之前继续受到市场谨慎情绪打压,而全球疫情重燃及管控措施的再度升级,也令避险日元继续成为市场投资者资金的首选去处;② 大华银行的分析师因此指出,如果美元兑日元汇价无法短期内在103.60上方站稳实现阶段性筑底,那么后市下行空间仍将进一步打开,如果日内稍后进一步失守隔夜低位,那么支撑点将下看至102.50一线,之后若有更多风险端负面消息配合,则会进一步打开跌向101.20处2020年3月低位的通道。而中长期来看,在美联储宽松政策年内料延续并加码,且日本央行暂时仍不会大规模入市干预的大背景下,美元兑日元跌向100关口最终也将只是时间问题

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