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欧元兑美元年内将涨向1.26关口;① 欧元兑美元汇价近期以来受美元指数走势持续疲软的带动走强,但近日以来汇价持续在1.2310水平遇阻。由于欧元区疫情状况仍然严峻,且投资者对欧洲经济增速前景也仍有怀疑,欧元暂时仍需进一步盘整以积蓄进一步破位上行的动能;② 而法国兴业银行的分析师则指出,从长期来看,在美联储继续宽松成为定局的预期之下,美欧之间的货币政策落差水平仍将在年内推动欧元汇价进一步上行,中期上行目标上看至2018年的高位1.2555,突破该水平意味着年内欧元汇价将转至1.26上方。该行指出,在英国脱欧大业完成之后,欧元汇价的一大心病已经消除,而在全球经济复苏周期中,欧系货币汇价也会兑美元录得一波涨势,但这前提是投资者要先确信经济复苏周期确实即将开始,这则有待近期经济数据表现的进一步确认

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