欧元兑美元年内将涨向1.26关口；① 欧元兑美元汇价近期以来受美元指数走势持续疲软的带动走强，但近日以来汇价持续在1.2310水平遇阻。由于欧元区疫情状况仍然严峻，且投资者对欧洲经济增速前景也仍有怀疑，欧元暂时仍需进一步盘整以积蓄进一步破位上行的动能；② 而法国兴业银行的分析师则指出，从长期来看，在美联储继续宽松成为定局的预期之下，美欧之间的货币政策落差水平仍将在年内推动欧元汇价进一步上行，中期上行目标上看至2018年的高位1.2555，突破该水平意味着年内欧元汇价将转至1.26上方。该行指出，在英国脱欧大业完成之后，欧元汇价的一大心病已经消除，而在全球经济复苏周期中，欧系货币汇价也会兑美元录得一波涨势，但这前提是投资者要先确信经济复苏周期确实即将开始，这则有待近期经济数据表现的进一步确认
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