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英国脱欧余波未了,未来数年间仍将持续影响汇市走势;① 丹斯克银行的分析师指出,尽管英国脱欧协议已经顺利达成,但是其对于市场情绪的影响力并不会很快消除,在相当长的时间内,其后继影响都会继续存在,并进一步左右英镑及其他欧系货币的汇市走势,因为当前决议中仍留了一些悬而未决之难题留待日后逐一化解,这之中的变数也依旧存在;② 不过该行指出,短期来看,至少达成脱欧协议了却了投资者的一大心病,加之疫苗的普及使用前景,意味着英国经济在2021年有望超预期复苏,并仍可能跑赢欧元区经济伙伴,这叠加上投资者在经济复苏周期中抛售避险美元的交易,有望推动英镑汇价再上一台阶至1.40上方。然而,英国方面将可能面临苏格兰二度独立公投等意外事件冲击,同时该国与西班牙在直布罗陀问题上的纠纷在后脱欧时代也会继续不时发酵,这都意味着英镑走势前景在整体向好的同时仍是暗流丛生

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