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2021年英镑表现或持续脆弱:在新冠病毒疫情持续恶化的情况下,英国政府在英格兰实施了四级封锁,加大了对公共财政的压力,在所有的可能性仍存在,脱欧谈判的延续与欧盟金融服务和安全等领域显示,英镑可能在2021年无法摆脱其脆弱性或波动性;尽管贸易协议达成的任何消息都可能为英镑提供支撑,但任何令人宽慰的涨势仍有可能中断,任何协议都注定会让许多行业受到冷落,尤其是服务业,此外为了防止病毒传播,英国更大范围的地区可能会进入更高的四级封锁,将大大降低复苏的前景;假设达成脱欧协议,仍然认为未来几个月欧元兑英镑将难以跌破0.89-0.88,如果没有达成协议,欧元兑英镑将升至0.93-0.95,这取决于明年部分行业谈判的大门是否敞开

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