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#创作者#近期因为通胀预期,大宗商品都呈现上涨趋势,这个趋势持续到明年,势必使明年一季度通胀数据向好,而通胀数据的向好又会使得,预期得到加强,使热钱继续推高商品价格,在短期内这是一个相互加强的过程。而中国目前的政策是加强国内消费,加上中国是商品进口国,这可能使得国内通胀更明显。通胀初期会利好股市,所以不建议长线做空股票市场。看好商品出口国的经济复苏。由于美元被市场广泛长期看空,需要特别警惕突发的黑天鹅导致美元的短期大幅上涨和股指的大跌,但在各大经济体结束宽松之前,股票和商品价格的大跌可能会是进场做多大机会,不过个人不建议做多股票市场,推荐做多商品。#Tickmill##ICMarkets##AvaTrade##TMGM#

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