若脱欧谈判顺利且疫情平息，英镑兑美元将升触1.37；① 西太平洋银行的分析师指出，如果英国与欧盟就脱欧事宜举行的谈判按预期顺利落幕，同时在疫苗的介入之下，新冠病毒疫情全面退潮，那么英镑兑美元的汇价将有望升至1.37上方。但是如果消息面状况反过来出现恶化，那么英镑汇价将跌回1.27下方；② 该行指出，其基因脱欧协议影响的基线判断是，在协议顺利达成之后，英镑汇价能冲上1.35，而如果协议达成时间被继续拖延，汇价将失守1.30；然而在此之外，当前疫情的走向会对汇价额外产生正负2%的影响幅度，这也就是该行枪英镑汇价在年底的上下限设于1.27-1.37区间的原因
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