未来十二个月澳元兑美元或难大涨；荷兰合作银行预计未来十二个月澳元兑美元不会大涨，原因是当澳洲经济摆脱由于新冠疫情引发的经济放缓后，澳洲联储将实施扩张性货币政策，预期澳元兑美元六个月目标在0.73，明年下半年目标在0.74；澳洲联储将密切关注汇率波动，也就是说，近期新冠病毒疫苗相关的乐观进展已使投资者对全球经济增长中期前景更加充满信心，尽管由于全球应对新冠疫情，短线冒险情绪或降温，但随着经济复苏澳元兑美元将走高，澳大利亚实施量宽政策较为积极，可降低澳大利亚债券对海外投资者的吸引力，从而打压澳元，相对于金融危机后的表现，澳大利亚10年期债券溢价已大大降低，目前10年期澳债名义收益率已接近美债收益率
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