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【追随美豆步伐,菜粕疯狂触及涨停】#期货#11月5日讯,①借助美豆再次大涨的机会,菜粕极力飙升,今日主力合约一举冲破前期上方阻力位,临近尾盘一度触及涨停价位,创下年内新高2594元/吨,期价收盘暴涨4.7%,持仓大幅增加超过11万手,不过远月合约涨幅偏弱。美豆重回多头格局,期价连续三日上涨,且涨势日渐强盛,今日电子盘更是升至逾四年来最高水平,突破1100美分关键位置,因南美部分地区依然较为干燥,同时来自中国的大豆进口需求依然强劲。②目前菜粕货源紧张,油厂限量开单,油厂门口提货有排队情况。国投安信观点认为国内菜籽低压榨,菜油与菜粕维持低库存,供需矛盾上主要由供给端驱动,唯需要关注直接进口菜籽的船期预报有否增加、大豆提高压榨量后的连锁反应等。结合当前国内菜系库存、菜籽压榨、政策预期,国内菜系品种价格仍将维持强势。

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