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瑞银资产管理预期拜登胜选的几率为75%,美国国债面临压力;① 瑞银资产管理认为,乔·拜登赢得美国总统大选的几率为75%,这可能导致美元疲软和美国国债的卖压。② 该公司预期,民主党全面大胜的几率为55%。③ 多资产策略投资解决方案负责人Evan Brown和主管Luke Kawa在一份报告中写道,由此结果产生的支出增加,可能会推动週期性股票和除美国以外的全球股市走高,但国债和美元料将走低。④ 如果民主党的胜利导致持续的财政扩张,瑞银认为未来五年的消费者价格通胀将平均超过2.5%,这将进一步拖累美国国债

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