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不利于欧元的不确定性年底前难以消除;① 丹斯克银行的高级分析师Lars Merklin周四在报告中写道,明年欧元可能会测试1.20美元,但是到今年年底之前“不利于欧元的不确定性不太可能消失”,这位分析师写道,欧元交易区间将在1.15-1.19美元;② 他列举了一系列不利于欧元的因素,包括:欧元无法从美联储最近的通胀策略转变中得到提振;欧洲与新冠疫情相关的新一波封锁可能会削弱经济动力;③ 他写道,“市场需要等待欧元出现新的上行故事”,至于什么可能触发这样的走势,他提到:今年年底达成脱欧决议;德国政治:“由于绿党在下一次选举中似乎举足轻重,因此如果德国政治继续左倾,则欧元乐观情绪有进一步发展的空间”;“这可能会重燃欧洲一体化的主题,提振非美元货币”;美国大选:“如果有一方明确获胜掌控众议院和参议院”,则将为进一步的财政刺激措施扫清道路

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