英镑兑美元跌回1.25将是大势所趋；① 法国兴业银行的分析师团队指出，英国央行上周决议中明确暗示了在未来实施负利率政策的可能性，这令英镑汇价立杆见影地受到重挫。虽然此后在美元指数疲软的背景下英镑汇价有所反弹，但从基本面整体背景上来看，英镑汇价后市走跌仍在所难免；② 分析师指出，英国脱欧僵局的持续困扰和英国国内再度严峻的疫情，都令英国经济前景额外堪忧，令英镑承压下行在所难免，汇价也因此缺少反弹空间。在此状况下，英镑兑美元料将最晚在2021年一季度就跌至1.25的水平，而欧元兑英镑会升至0.96；③ 不过法兴银行指出，英镑后市仍可能面临一些支撑，因此暂时难以在1.25之下再跌得太深，一方面是因为对手盘美元和欧元自身所存在的风险因素，如美国大选和欧洲大陆疫情，一方面也是汇市投资者会认为英镑汇价按公允水平已经低估，并进行抄底买入操作
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