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美国非农向好并非美元走强主因,全球避险买需才是主要动能;① 野村证券认为,虽然美国上周五发布的8月非农就业数据表现好于预期,失业率降低到了8.4%,但这些数据其实仍在投资者的预料之中,因此并不能作为做多美元的直接依据。充其量来说,非农数据只是激活了美元空头加速止损,而推动美元汇价持续走强的,事实上则是来自其他领域的消息;② 该机构指出,欧元区等地疫情加速扩散,欧洲央行面临进一步宽松措施的消息,以及全球地缘与贸易局势进一步趋紧张引发的美元避险买需,才是推动美元走强而欧系非美货币承压的主因。这些趋势继续延续,推动美元指数日收盘站上93关口和30日均线切入位上方,才能进一步巩固确认美元指数的上行趋势

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