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未来人民币兑美元汇率的升值空间可能有限; 野村证券中国首席经济学家陆挺:三根阳线改变信仰,这方面汇市和股市未必有多大的不同。在我们看来,因涉及全球经济、政治和市场资金面等多种随机因素,汇率预测的难度极高,市场对汇率变动应该有足够的敬畏之心。综合分析各种数据信息,我们认为在目前基础之上,未来人民币兑美元汇率的升值空间可能有限,持续升值的可能性较低,波动或可加大,因此建议市场不宜盲目追高,企业仍需做好套期保值。当然我们也无需盲目悲观,只要坚持市场化取向的改革开放,执行好审慎的宏观调控政策,人民币同样不具备长期大幅贬值的空间

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