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明年一季度美元兑日元目标为101;日元受益于美国和日本债券收益率息差收窄,并且美元持续疲弱,四季度美元兑日元目标为103,明年一季度目标为101,即使市场反弹,但日元仍维持上涨,日元升值很大一部分原因是日债与美债短期和长期利率率息差收窄,财政部每周数据显示了这一点,即外国对外投资流动速度仍远低于今年年初新冠疫情爆发之前的速度;日本央行政策仍处于维持现状的状态,但如果债券收益率上升,那么日本央行将采取行动,日元料将维持受益于美元疲弱及应该美国和日本债券收益率息差收窄

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