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摩根士丹利研究部周三讨论了美元/日元的前景走势,认为风险倾向于从看涨转向看跌。 该行解释,仍维持对美元/日元的中立看法,但从风险角度看倾向于从看涨转向看跌,截至近期之前,该行始终预计汇价的波动将是有限的,因美元和日元都倾向于充当融资货币的角色,使得美元/日元货币对对风险敏感度减弱。 然而在价格接近105.00水平上我们发现似乎鲜有逢低买入的需求,美元资产估值高、套利低的形势可能无法吸引日本投资者完全参与到逢低买入的交易中,对此我行相信美元/日元的走势很可能受美元单方的影响。 该行增述,我们并不建议从104-105区域开始做空美元/日元,但我们仍在眼下寻求逢高做空#USD/JPY# #投行报告# #疲软的美元,下落的飞刀# #投资干货#

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