结论综上所述，近期OPEC+减产和美国原油产量平稳支撑油价，但向上突破的核心动能主要来自需求端的恢复。目前全球多国重启经济已有一段时间，加之宏观经济数据利好提振油价，油价基本恢复至3月6日高位。但WTI首行合约42美元/桶附近、SC主力合约305元/吨附近的阻力明显，因为近期在美国疫情反弹背景下宏观经济和成品油需求前景的不确定性导致油价上攻受阻、压力增加。因此，我们预计后市若美国疫情没有出现明显好转，则原油较难突破目前高位区间。
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