When the market rall...from ronwilliam

20 Jun 2020, 16:43 · Views 3,044

When the market rally breaks, we may see ‘echoes of 1929’ + SP500 V-shape recovery hits pandemic price gap + Presidential election cycle remains negative in H2 2020 + Roadmap investment cycle; Fall, Rally & Rest of Fall + Bear Market Roadmaps; The Good, Bad & Ugly +Echoes of the 1929 Wall Street Crash #TradeNotes# #Market&Mind# #StockMarket#

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ronwilliam

48 Posted · 411 Followers

I am a market strategist & trading psychologist/mentor, with +20-years of experience, working for leading investment and trading firms.

US Presidential Election Risk +++++++++++++++++++++ 1.) There is a historical similarity of the latest US presidential contested election (Trump-Biden) and previous one in the year of 2000 (Bush-Gore). 2.) The previous event risk led to a -8.5% price drop, from a similar late-cycle top pattern, that led to the Y2K crash. 3.) This would potentially be triggered under the pandemic gap of 3280-3340, if and once, S&P500 reverses under risk level at 3600. #USElection2020#

ronwilliam

In order to rise to the highs in life & trading, we must learn how to overcome our lows, particularly during times of grief. Brief intro session on the "Grief cycle" (based on the Kubler-Ross model), to our class of aspiring traders, on what is becoming a real pain-point for many, during traditional bouts of equity drawdown. However, according to my performance coaching work with live case-study traders, many are impacted by the environmental grief of the ongoing pandemic and lockdown related disruption. One of the hardest challenges is breaking through stage 1 & 2 of the cycle; shock & denial, which often creates a deep cognitive dissonance mental block, or alternate realities. It's critical to work through the stages; frustration-anger, into the cycle bottom of your mood & energy. This is literally the darkest moment, before a new breaking dawn, which can lead to a post-traumatic growth recovery (PTG). But to make it to the other side, we must first be in a state of "acceptance" of our past experiences, to help learn key lessons that can helps us fail forward and reintegrate into a new future. How does the grief cycle resonate in your life or trading? Your stories are welcome. strongertogether2021 #Market&Mind#

ronwilliam

Trading psychology- establishing a trading mindset in volatile times。 With the recent uptick in market volatility, how is it best to prepare your mindset to avoid the usual pitfalls? i talk about the trading mindset in the times of volatility in this video. #Market&Mind# #FX# #trading#

ronwilliam

VIX Signals “Eye of another Storm” Breakout patterns Eye of another storm between 40-20%, elevated implied volatility Rare volatility signal, at equity market historic extremes #GameStop# #Todayanalysis# #joebidennewpresident# #USStimulusPackage# #KuaishouSurges#

ronwilliam

Global Trading Model 2-sided market, Oil top ranking, but Copper falls from grace Asian equities outperform, India & Japan, LT growth story, accelerated by pandemic mitigation China short-term reversal from 10-year range ceiling US underperforms world, risk cycle ahead in February/March Gold trend still resilient, $1823 dynamic support #CrudeOil# #AsianMarket# #gold#

ronwilliam