【黑色系：铁矿不可摸顶做空，趋势依旧强劲】5月15日唐山港、天津港PB粉价格涨到了700元/吨的水平。 在现货价格上涨带动下，期货价格也已经有所上涨，价格走势反映和消化了市场预期。当前主力合约2009反映的是9月远期价格，彼时港口库存有望大幅恢复至合理水平，下半年铁矿石供需关系缓和，价格具备回调空间。但由于澳洲当前发运高增量难以维持，预计二季度铁矿港口库存仍将继续下降，并于6月底将降至年内最低点。图表上铁矿中期运行于箱体区间内部，本周跳空高开突破前期高点，大周期收线如果企稳后市将进一步上探。日内思路回落做多为主，空头头寸谨慎对待。
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