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李亦合:美国白宫疫情小组今日外汇市场重点关注 美元在当前的位置表现出避险优势   亦合表示,美元在当前的位置表现出避险优势,股市和经济走势当前出现断链,即便日内存在风险走高,那么美元的表现很大程度也相关于股市表现。 美国银行讨论了欧元兑美元的前景,并概述了在未来几个月中朝着1.02的下滑,并说明了保持结构性看跌的几个关键原因。尽管欧元兑美元被低估了约10%,但是根据我们的估计,我们认为该货币对在今年余下的时间会进一步走弱。预计欧元兑美元将处于1.02至1.05之间,存在下行风险。欧元在未来数月会走弱,因为全球经济前景恶化,欧元区经济衰退更严重。另外,宏观的对应政策,外围风险,主权风险,低油价以及长期欧元的市场地位都会使欧元处于疲软状态。

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