前段时间我给自己抄底原油需要满足三个条件，基本能达到，美国的钻井数下降到400以下，昨晚是378。下周估计还的下降，这个会超出市场预期。意味着美国原油从1200万桶下降700百万桶大概数也可能比这个还要多。再加上其他国家的被动减产，估计会更多，这样就会抵消因为疫情而需求下降的原油，第二个条件是欧佩克＋能严格执行减产协议，目前这样的油价，不严格执行也不行了，因为都不减大家一块死。第三就是对疫情的控制，德美都在评估五月下旬重启经济，这样就会对原油的需求复苏有很大帮助，这样一来一回的搞，原油这次想不暴涨都难了。复制08年的行情也是很可能得。
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