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美国的恐慌指标。以此类推,美国旧金山“封城”后,民众恐慌将情绪快速攀升。我们使用新闻关键词“coronavirus”的数量作为美国疫情的恐慌情绪指数,发现最近几天大幅攀升。根据社会心理学,我们预计恐慌情绪可能将在约10天(自然日)后达到顶峰,即3月27日前后。一旦恐慌指数见顶,受情绪冲击的美国股市可能达到低点,之后反弹。

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