荷兰国际集团预计美国12月非农就业表现不佳，11月美国非农表现强劲，受通用罢工影响，就业人 数增加，11月非农人口增加26.6万，好于预期的18万，前两个月上修4.1万，零部件供应商受罢工 影响不得不暂时休假，证实了美联储在2019年下半年降息三次后不会进一步降息的市场预期；12月 非农就业人口料增加15万，共识预期增加16万，如果因经济原因出现更多的人返回就业岗位，薪资 增长动能将有限；12月平均时薪月率料上涨0.2%，年率料上涨3.0%，由于美联储目前对货币政策感 到满意，因此近期美联储调整利率的可能性不大。#非农预测#
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