黄金上周反弹1474后受阻回落，而1474正是11月初大幅下跌后的第一反弹高点位置，第一次反弹上行一般是会有回落的了，本周开盘后受阻1470且站不稳1466上方，则面临下行回调，如果是头肩底形态，参考左肩位置就是1457-1456了，所以日内依托1466一线直接提示轻仓做空，如期盈利1460。大周期现处于大涨以后的调整阶段，调整完成还是会上涨，但是点位和时间点需要比较长时间观察了，短期关注1475-1445区间变化情况，正常是回调在1457-1445区间震荡筑底后形成双底上行，走势比较弱的话可能跌破1445，最低预计1430-1415下跌通道下轨然后筑底上行。
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