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#如何预防灰犀牛事件?# 古根海姆学者奖获得者米歇尔·渥克撰写的《灰犀牛:如何应对大概率危机》一书让“灰犀牛”为世界所知。类似“黑天鹅”比喻小概率而影响巨大的事件,“灰犀牛”则比喻大概率且影响巨大的潜在危机。 沃克在书中提出,应对“灰犀牛”风险,不要浪费已经发生的危机,要真正做到从灾难中吸取教训。从美国次贷危机到欧洲债务危机,可以说,每一次危机背后都隐藏着巨大的“灰犀牛”风险。次贷危机中,美国房地产泡沫、信贷过度膨胀等迹象早已显现;欧债危机中,欧洲多国债台高筑、财赤超标问题也远非一日之寒。在这些危机中,“灰犀牛”风险被忽视,得不到妥善应对,最终酿成重大危机。

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