美联储主席鲍威尔今日发表讲话后,股市似乎看到了货币政策将会放宽的迹象,美国三大股指均涨超1%,然而债券市场似乎对鲍威尔的言论有所怀疑,美国两年期及三年期国债收益率(通常能够反映市场对美联储政策的中期预期)上涨幅度超过长期国债收益率。这或因鲍威尔称,目前联邦基金利率水平已经接近“有效下限”,这意味着美联储在未来通过下调利率水平以抵消经济衰退的空间有限。他还表示,利率接近于零是这个时代中最突出的货币政策挑战。虽然已有其他央行开始实施负利率,但鲍威尔的讲话表明,美联储并不考虑采用这一选项。
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