招商证券:予华润啤酒(00291)“增持”评级 目标价降至37港元

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招商证券发布报告称,预期华润啤酒(00291)上半年业绩平淡,但利润率仍因效率而增长,并认为旺季潜在的良好补货势头证明“增持”评级合理,认为股价已消化上半年业绩。公司7月初出现需求复苏迹象;趋势有待确认,目标价从45.4港元调整至37港元,并把盈测下调11%。

招商证券表示,将润啤全年营收增长预期从12.6%下调至4.9%,以反映上半年的平淡表现,下半年预计将实现10%的增长。将全年毛利率预测提高0.8个百分点,以反映产品组合升级和成本节约带来的正面影响,即使上半年生产去杠杆化有所拖累。将全年的营运费用比率下调0.5个百分点,以反映管理层实施的成本举措。

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