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24家投行预测8月非农:增幅料放缓但依然相对强劲,黄金恐承压

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北京时间周五(9月2日)20:30,美国将公布8月季调后非农就业人口变动和失业率。周四(9月1日),包括摩根士丹利在内的家大型投行发表了对此次数据的前瞻,具体如下。

24家投行预测8月非农:增幅料放缓但依然相对强劲,黄金恐承压

24家投行预测8月非农:增幅料放缓但依然相对强劲,黄金恐承压

家大型投行预测显示,主要投行认为8月非农增速进一步下滑,但投行之间的增幅预期差距较大。具体而言,美国8月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于21.5万-37.5万(前值52.8万),失业率料介于3.4%-3.5%(前值3.5%),平均时薪年率增幅料介于5.2%-5.4%(前值5.2%)。

和前值相比,投行认为8月非农表现继续强劲,但增幅将缩小,相比之下失业率和平均时薪年率和前值相差不大。若数据显示8月非农增幅真如投行预测那样增幅放缓,但依然强劲,美元指数料受提振,黄金恐因此承压。

现货黄金日线图)

北京时间9月1日15:02,现货黄金报1706.05美元/盎司。

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